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UdieIcry

  • Name Nikola Manojlovic
  • Location International
  • Primary game Dota 2
Started my dota career 8 years ago, in 2006. Ever since I studied and observed competitive scene very carefully. In 2008 I started doing statistical and analytical work for an e-sports company in my home country. I am not a fan of any team, I simply enjoy extraordinary performances, I am true dota fan, I cheer for great dota.

UdieIcry's activity

Classic fan logic.

Article 8/6/16, 12:40 AM

Synderen is not dying only due to smoke ganks, PPD plays a more sacrificial position 5 than Synderen yet averages significantly lesser deaths per game. For a professional player he is really bad (remember, people you compare him with are his peer group, the other supports). You are not comparing synderen to public matchmaking players on 2k mmr (any mmr) or you or me. I have played with Synderen in the original dota for a year or so starting in early 2008. The guy has an insane amount of experience and that is what he brings to the table. He is very knowledgeable about the game, also he is very well-spoken which allows him to communicate his ideas coherently and accurately. Those are his strengths, but to say that he is dying only due to smokes shows that you are either not watching the games closely or just watching the highlights or even worse are a huge fan which blinds you from using impartial assessment of what is going on in a game.

Article 8/4/16, 1:40 AM

I came off a bit offensive which was not my intent by any stretch of imagination. I've been recently arguing with numerous people who put a lot of emphasis on teams they like and can't impartially view the game which is really frustrating especially when you are try to make predictions and assessments based on logic and unbiased analysis. Your comment, unlike most people's, seems to have some thought behind it, so I'd like to apologize if I offended you. However, I have never said that they are horrifically imbalanced, what I am saying though that it was never the case that group A was even negligibly stronger than group B. Group B was definitely stronger, not by an insane margin but evidently stronger, especially now that they have gained the best team possible from the WC qualifier (regardless of the actual WC results). Also please note that I am not complaining about the balance of groups, I think that Valve does a fantastic job most of the time when it comes to tournament organization, formats, groups and most corollary aspects of those events. My issue lies with people making their assessments based on personal preference and ideas that come from hype moments of certain players rather than looking at a relevant period of time as a whole (my criterion in that regard being 3 months give or take). You examine each team's accomplishments based on the events they attended, teams they faced at those events, attending teams at those events and compare it to their previous level. Also, it is very important to consider statistics and last but not least the eye test (just watching doto as you said). The problem is that people would just watch it casually and get influenced by casters and their team preference. When you couple that with the fact that most people don't watch EVERY game played by certain teams, some even resort to highlights of games only and then claim some ridiculous things despite the fact that they don't get to experience the entirety of the game and some crucial plays and deciding factors. That being said, group A consists of 5 top 10 teams and 3 unranked teams (being unranked means not being in top 15 or being a newly formed team in my vocabulary). Whereas group B has also 5 top 10 teams but the remaining teams are in the 15th - 11th zone. Now then, MVP Phoenix have shown a great attitude towards practice before big events and also have a tendency to do reasonably well given that they have limited scrimmage parters so that is also significant. Another considerably relevant factor is that they got the best team in that 15th - 11th zone - EHOME who are filled with up-and-coming high skill players and some of the best Asian veterans. Another big caveat is that one of the best teams of group A, LGD does not have their full roster. Final point, ultimately this kind of analysis can give you the best prediction based on past results and form,but nobody knows how well prepared or horrendously prepared teams will go into the event. Also nobody knows how the meta game might look like by the time we reach the latter stages of the main event and how well teams can adapt to that new style of playing. I hope I've been as clear as I have been comprehensive. You pal seem to have a logical approach to your view, cherish that. Also I couldn't detail my rankings fully here, if you are interested I posted them in the comment section of the article "Groups of The International 6 announced" here at GosuGamers. Enjoy some great dota.

Article 8/3/16, 7:18 PM

What unrealistic dimension did you draw your conclusions from ? What piece of impartial analysis do you see that a majority consensus among experts does not ?

Article 8/3/16, 4:14 PM

Continuing the argument from my previous post, it is now safe to say that group B is the stronger group. Here is why: Group B has all 8 teams ranked (in top 15) 5 of which are in top 10. On top of that, one of the three top 15th-11th ranked teams - MVP Phoenix is expected to perform given their track record at big events. On the other hand, group A has 3 unranked teams and 5 top 10 teams. Granted the best team coming into the event is in group A. The most important thing to note now is that this is based on analysis COMING INTO the event. As the tournament plays out we will have the best data to indisputably say which group was better. Enjoy some great Dota.

Article 8/3/16, 1:54 PM

Such a staggering amount of ludicrous theories and mad confusion all over the place. Firstly, we need a common yardstick to compare the groups, and that common yardstick should be an expert-based ranking of the teams. I have been following Dota's competitive scene since 2008 and have been doing monthly rankings since early 2013, if you need any other pertinent information on my background feel free to ask I'd kindly respond. Apart from a proper ranking system, what we need to make accurate and sensible comparisons is the elimination of partiality to teams and players, we need to look at the topic objectively without favouritism. Lastly, we have to wait for the last two teams to qualify as they might have significant impact on the balance of these groups. Also assuming that you know what is going to happen in a game is frivolous, the cases where you can be practically 100 percent sure are very rare, especially at an event as large as The International since all teams will be preparing religiously for it. What you can do, is analyse the match-up scrupulously and make a prediction based on past results, recent form, statistics and if you are a betting person gut feeling. That being said, I'll divide teams into 4 different ranking categories, questions as to what criteria I chose and why are very welcome. The elite teams (expected to finish top 4) 1. OG 2. Liquid 3. Newbee 4. Wings Tier 1 (Expected to make it to top 6) 5. Na'Vi 6. LGD (huge caveat here given the visa issue they are facing) Contenders (teams expected to make it to top 8, potentially top 6) 7. Vici gaming reborn 8. Secret 9. Fnatic 10. Alliance Potential contenders (teams who have been in the top 10 or are very close to being there) In no particular order: MVP Phoenix (the only ones expected to reach top 6 given their unorthodox style and attitude towards practice before huge events) Ehome DC Complexity Lastly, EG is worth mentioning simply because they are coming back as the defending champions with a 1 man difference compared to the last year's line-up. I don't see them making it far into the tournament, but they do have experience and talent to surprise.

Article 8/2/16, 3:55 AM

He actually provided a sensible reply, he did not indicate that your initial comment was about DK's performance, his statement suggests that you should not dwell on the past. Namely, DK hadn't beaten Newbee up untill their last meeting in ECL which implies that even though c9 demolished Empire in their previous games it does not necessarily mean that they will do the same this time. Please note that I am cheering for C9 in this particular match and I find statistics to be a precise source for predicting future outcomes, so I support your original claim. Have a nice day sir.

Match 6/16/14, 4:56 PM

Pajkatt, MiseRy, ah sorry you said only one.

Match 6/14/14, 7:28 PM
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